As all fans of ‘Yes, minister’ know, when Sir Humphrey described a decision as ‘brave’, what he actually meant is that it was barking mad. The word ‘innovative’ often seems to mean much the same thing. Take the example of the scheme to fund new social housing in the Highlands, which Alex Neil, the Scottish housing minister, has described as ‘innovative’.
To summarise, each time a house becomes vacant, Highland Council will sell it into a newly created ‘special purpose vehicle’, probably backed by a bank or a pension fund. The council will still allocate the house to someone on their register, just as now, and the special vehicle will subcontract the management and maintenance of the houses back to the council. After 25 years, the special purpose vehicle will give the houses back to the council.
Not so magic formula
So at first sight, nothing changes. The council decides who gets the houses, and looks after the properties. But the special purpose vehicle will give the council £31,500 per property, which comes to £94.5million for the 3,000 houses that the council plans to transfer. The council will use this money to build 650 houses over the next five years. Apparently 650 houses come from nowhere, as if by magic.
But as every economist knows, there is no such thing as a free lunch, let alone 650 free houses. Why on earth would the special purpose vehicle want to give the council £31,500 for each house that becomes vacant? The answer is that they are going to make £31,500 out of each property over the following 25 years. At first sight that comes to £24 per property per week, but it is rather more when you take into account the interest - the special purpose vehicle will pay the £31,500 up front, and get the rental back over the follow 25 years. Mathematically, it will have to make around £34 a week over and above the cost of maintenance and administration to cover the £31,500.
There is no suggestion that the special purpose vehicle will be more efficient in looking after properties - after all, it is going to subcontract the maintenance back to the council. Nor will it be reducing costs by cutting corners - for the same reason. Instead, it will make its money by raising rents - as the council acknowledges, stating that rents will be between traditional social rents and private sector rents.
So the long and the short of the scheme is that if you move into a council house in the Highlands in the next five years, your rent will be higher. Higher rents mean more profits, and those profits will be used to build more houses.
A democratically elected council has the right to say that it thinks the world would be a better place were new tenants to pay higher rents so the council has the money to build more houses. Local people might agree or disagree, and re-elect the council, or not, in due course. What makes no sense is the creation of a special purpose vehicle to achieve this.
Unnecessary costs
It would be much cheaper for the council to borrow the money directly, either from the markets, via a bond issue, or from a bank or other financial institution. After all, it has a secure revenue stream - the profits from the higher rent tenancies - and it is not difficult to convert a future revenue stream into money up front. That is what banks do every day.
The special purpose vehicle is simply a costly version of a bank loan. Creating the idea has already cost real money, in the form of the time of the council housing management team’s staff time. Now the council is going to spend £100,000 to examine the feasibility of the scheme (it might be better for the council to save its £100,000 and spend 5p photocopying this article.)
If it decides to go ahead, it will take more staff time, and then real money. Drawing up a contract like this will not come cheap - the lawyers’ fees on both sides will be large, and ultimately, all of those bills have to be paid for by the council and its tenants. If the scheme goes ahead, there will be costs every year. Each year, for example, the council and the special purpose vehicle will have to negotiate over rents. The vehicle will want them as high as possible - they are a financial institution, and they are in it to make money. And they will have to negotiate over the fee for maintaining the buildings. This time the vehicle will want them as low as possible, while the council will want them to be as high as possible.
With the best will in the world, you can’t agree now how much the rent will be in 2035, or how much the maintenance will cost by then. There will be negotiations, and there will be disagreements, and those negotiations and disagreements will be costly.
We have a government that says that it is committed to localism. David Cameron claims to favour localism root and branch. So,
Mr Cameron, would you be happy for Highlands Council simply to borrow the money, and pay it back later from higher rents? If so, the council should do that for sure, rather than use this special purpose vehicle.
Of course, there is a reason why Mr Cameron might not be happy: many new social housing tenants receive housing benefit. Their
higher rents are paid for by central government, and a bigger housing benefit bill is definitely not on the government’s agenda. But that is an argument against higher rents being used to fund new build, whether by direct borrowing or via a special purpose vehicle.
In general, special purpose vehicles are bad news. They are expensive to set up, expensive to run, generally opaque, and often lock you in to deals you may later find don’t work. If you have a revenue stream and want the money now, then borrow it and be honest and straightforward about it.
Tim Leunig is an academic in the department of economic history at the London School of Economics
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Readers' comments (12)
Sidney Webb | 27/08/2010 11:46 am
I'm sure I remember Mr Brown enabling Council's to borrow against future rent income. This would mean that the steps taken by the Housing Minister are not required as the borrowing can be done without the need to pay extra to any of his City friends.
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Paine | 27/08/2010 12:44 pm
"it might be better for the council to save its £100,000 and spend 5p photocopying this article"
Ouch! Dr Leunig we salute you.
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Anonymous | 27/08/2010 2:52 pm
No, it was Brown who developed the special purpose vehicle as a tool of fiscal insanity.
Witness, its incarnation in PFI. The public sector could engage in a spending frenzy incurring massive liablities for future generations because it had the sole attraction to Brown that it was off balance-sheet, that is off the PSBR so that he could claim his stewardship of the economy was prudent.
On the other side of the equation, the advent of the SPV allowed participants to engage in some highly leveraged therefore risky but sublimely profitable deals in the knowledge that parent groups would incur no liability if the SPV went belly up.
That's Brown for you. Doing his upmost - cue onion - to screw everthing up just as long as he wouldn't be around when the floor fell in.
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Anonymous | 27/08/2010 2:56 pm
In the interests of disinterest, Dr Leunig might have mentioned he's a Lib-Dem.
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Sidney Webb | 27/08/2010 5:14 pm
Anon 252
Well at least we can look forward to good honest inclusion on the PSBR in future now that the land, coast, trees, regulators and no doubt government will move into the private sector, receiving subsidy benefit rather than funded borrowing - which has always confused me as we need to borrow the money to pay the subsidies,and wasn't it all meant to save money anyway (e.g. why are we paying rail companies more in subsidies and compensations than they pay for the franchise?)
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tim leunig | 28/08/2010 0:31 am
Anonymous 2.56pm - as is well-known, I am a card-carrying LibDem. Does that affect this article?
Best wishes to all readers!
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| 28/08/2010 6:03 pm
Excellent article and some excellent comments above. When I read about this SPV I thought it looked barmy and ultimately some sort of scam to screw more housing benefit out of Central Government. With practically all the rental receivables coming from Westminster in the form of HB, the canny Scots figured they could use the extra money to build more yet social housing and round the merry-go-round we go...
By the what does a LibDem economist actually believe? Surely what a LibDem believes (or says they believe) varies according to what part of the country they are in and whether they are up against a Labour or Tory challenger or incumbent. Surely they just pick from the menu according to their intended audience....?!
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Anonymous | 28/08/2010 8:22 pm
Tim Leunig, a liberal. I bet Anne Power walks you around the Strand bollock-naked every day.
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| 28/08/2010 11:51 pm
Now that would be a sight to see...
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Chris Cook | 29/08/2010 8:34 pm
Well, Tim, it depends how the SPV is done.
The current proposal involves debt and compound interest, and is riddled with conflicts and complexity.
With a little seed funding from Innovation Norway we (Nordic Enterprise Trust) have come up with a partnership framework agreement, rather than an SPV. Our approach leaves the land in public ownership, but shares the revenues from the land, and the capital invested in the land, equitably between the providers of finance (including the value of the land) and a 'managing partner'.
Whether it's the high risk short/medium term 'financing' needed to create new houses, or the medium/long term low risk 'funding' needed for houses once they are built, we believe our partnership model is optimal.
The outcome is a new form of 'public equity' through Units in 'pools' of affordable rentals, and the dramatically reduced financing costs which result from the absence of debt and compound interest.
See pages 8 and 9 here
http://www.scotregen.co.uk/pdf.pl?file=surf/news/Scotregen_46_web.pdf
and this recent presentation
http://www.slideshare.net/ChrisJCook/community-land-partnership-june-2010
One of the problems we have faced is that professional advisers - who are mainly LLPs themselves - are paid by the hour, rather than the outcome, and sometimes have little interest in simple solutions.
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