Incentive scheme maths is wrong
Grant Shapps is strong on rhetoric (Inside Housing, 26 February) but weak on mathematics.
SIGN IN TO ACCESS THIS CONTENT
You've reached your monthly limit for unrestricted access to Inside Housing content. To get free unrestricted access simply sign in below, or register your details.
Sign In
If you are already registered sign in for unrestricted access to alll the content on the site.
He fails to recognise that because his so-called incentive scheme involves a commitment to match council tax yield over six years, the cost escalates at an alarming rate - not just to the £1 billion which he admits but to at least £2.3 billion and probably to in excess of £5.5 billion.
The lowest figures are based on extremely cautious estimates - no increase in output of new housing, and no increase in council tax and the scheme abandoned after just three years as a failure.
Were the scheme to last for five years and housing output to recover to 150,000 units a year over that timescale, the cost would be more than £5.5 billion and that also assumes no increase in council tax. Such costs could only be met by swingeing cuts in other council services through top-slicing revenue support grant.
To wilfully damage other local services to fund a totally untested and in most people’s view non-credible incentive scheme, indicates inexperience on a grand scale.
Nick Raynsford MP, House of Commons, Westminster


