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As 2019 draws to a close, Richard Hyde reveals Thinkhouse’s five most important reports of the year
Thinkhouse is a website set up to be repository of housing research. Its editorial panel of economists, chief executives, consultants and academics critiques and collates the best of the most recent housing research (scroll down for more information).
As 2019 draws to a close, it is time to nominate the most influential housing reports of the past 12 months.
While political traumas have restricted legislative capacity there has been no shortage or slowdown in the publication of research pieces, policy publications and case studies that propose ways to increase the amount and quality of the UK’s housing stock and set out the related economic, social and community benefits of doing this. In the last year, more than 150 reports were uploaded and categorised in our web library and each one was assessed by our editorial panel.
The panel is made up of 19 members, drawn from a cross section of the housing world spanning academia and research, to the not-for-profit and business sectors.
The panel assessments translate into a score which we use to rank and then showcase the top scoring reports in the ‘must-read’ section on the 2019 page.
Our panel has looked at all the reports and chose those that we think have the greatest scope to influence decision-makers. This could be either for the quality of their research, innovation or the breadth of analysis.
This year we have selected 12 reports as must-reads and ranked them.
So, here is our top five and why we selected them. If you want a quick fix of the latest and most influential thinking over your Christmas break, these are the ones you should look at.
In fifth place is a joint report from Savills for the G15, National Housing Federation and Homes for the North, Additionality of Affordable Housing, which was published in April.
It questions the likelihood of the government hitting its 300,000 new homes a year target by the mid-2020s without expanding affordable housing supply with additional grant funding.
It presents evidence to demonstrate that relying on the cross-subsidy model used to finance affordable housing and the role of private developers would result in the target not being hit.
For a great summary of the state of housing supply in the context of our current approach to public sector intervention, you can find no better read this year.
In fourth place is the Local Government Association publication Understanding Local Housing Markets. This was a timely report as local authorities, freed from the housing review account borrowing cap, are much more focused on delivering new homes, alone or in partnerships, and embedding housing in health and place making strategies.
The report featured in our August blog for Inside Housing, by editorial panel member Kerri Farnsworth, who felt that “this report provided excellent factual evidence, arranged thematically, with a clear set of recommendations, to aid decision-making and delivery impact at the local authority level. It was a must-read for all municipal actors, but also national-level policymakers”.
In third place is The Homelessness Monitor: England – published in May and authored by academics from Heriot-Watt with the University of New South Wales was commissioned by Crisis and the Joseph Rowntree Foundation.
This is always an eagerly awaited annual publication and one of its key themes this year is the emerging impact of the implementation of Homelessness Reduction Act in England on local authorities.
It was reviewed for us by Francesca Albanese, head of research and evaluation at Crisis, and an editorial panel member.
She noted that the report concludes that the act has had a mainly positive impact so far but that the evidence points to areas that could be improved on: tackling the structural causes of homelessness; and ensuring sufficient supply of adequate, affordable and suitable housing to meet these legal requirements.
In second place was a report that came out at the start of the year. Building for our Future: a Vision for Social Housing was the final report of Shelter’s commission on the future of social housing.
While we saw fewer reports with a social housing focus than in 2018, this report would have stood out whenever it was published and is my personal favourite.
It is an in-depth study which is very readable and supported by great academic analysis, but it is also really a campaign rather than a one-off piece of research. It has been fronted by some well-known, media-savvy individuals and as a result was able to move the debate about the need for more social homes forward.
This is perhaps a textbook example of how to combine superb analysis with grabbing the headlines with its main message that 3.1 million new social housing homes are needed over the next 20 years.
I have no doubt they have influenced the policy debate and should be congratulated.
In first place and the editorial panel’s most highly ranked report of 2019 is The Tony Blair Institute and the Collaborative Centre for Housing Evidence (CACHE) report Tackling the UK Housing Crisis: is Supply the Answer?
This is a well-balanced but extremely thought-provoking publication that sets out the case for other factors rather than supply being the cause of the housing crisis. It is published alongside responses from two leading academics.
Increasing supply may just increase the number of empty homes, it argues.
Policymakers should focus instead on reversing the erosion of social housing stock and improving wage growth for young people to tackle affordability problems in the rented sector.
It urges politicians to better appreciate that high house prices are linked to low global interest rates, incentivising high mortgage borrowing rather than a lack of supply.
Professor Peter Williams in his September Thinkhouse blog for Inside Housing described the report as “powerful” with Ian Mulheirn of the Tony Blair Institute offering his view of the housing supply debate balanced off by responses from Professors Meen and Bramley. Taken together it is a useful corrective to the argument/policy stance that more supply alone will deliver the solution to the housing crisis. Indeed, most recently, Lewis and Cumming from the Bank of England added to this, highlighting the importance of factors other than supply. Clearly it is a complex debate – supply is important but other factors are, too.
So there we have it – there is no lack of research, ideas, new policy tools and innovation in the housing world. All we need to add is some non-Brexit policy intent and investment to make it happen.
Richard Hyde, with contributions from other members of the Thinkhouse editorial panel
Note: for the purpose of this article we include all reports published in the 12 months to the end of November.
Thinkhouse was formally launched in spring 2018, and aims to “provide a single location and summary of the best and most innovative research pieces, policy publications and case studies”.
It specifically looks at reports that propose ways to boost the amount and quality of housing and the economic, social and community issues of not doing this.
The Thinkhouse editorial panel highlights the ‘must-read’ reports, blogs about them and runs the annual Early Career Researcher’s Prize.
The panel includes current and former housing association chief executives, academics, lawyers, economists and consultants. It is chaired by Richard Hyde, chief executive of a business that sells construction hand tools.
Who is on the panel?
Richard Hyde | Chair of Editorial Panel, CEO of HYDE |
Gemma Duggan | Head of Compliance and Performance at Extracare |
Chris Walker | Economist |
Brendan Sarsfield | CEO, Peabody |
Mick Laverty | CEO, Extracare Charitable Trust |
Martin Wheatley | Senior Fellow, Institute for Government, |
Kerri Farnsworth | Founder & MD, Kerri Farnsworth Associates |
Suzanne Benson | Head of Real Estate for the Manchester office of Trowers. |
Burcu Borysik | Policy Manager at Revolving Doors Agency, |
Ken Gibb | Professor in housing economics at the University of Glasgow, Director of CaCHE |
Peter Williams | Departmental Fellow, Department of Land Economy, University of Cambridge |
Brian Robson | Executive Director of Policy and Public Affairs at the Northern Housing Consortium |
Francesca Albanese | Head of Research and Evaluation at Crisis |
Jules Birch | Journalist and blogger |
Susan Emmett | Head of Engagement for Homes England |
Mark Farmer | Founder and CEO Cast Consultancy |
Steve Moseley | Group Director of Governance, Strategy & Communications at L&Q |
Jennifer Rolison | Head of marketing at Aquila Services Group |
Philip Brown | Professor of Housing and Communities at the University of Huddersfield |
Anya Martin | Senior researcher at the National Housing Federation |
Emily Pumford | Policy & strategy advisor, Riverside |
Anthony Breach | Analyst, Centre for Cities |
Shahina Begum | Customer Insight Office, Peabody |